Publications

Books

Data-driven Generation of Policies (with Gerardo Simari, Austin Parker, and V.S. Subrahmanian). Springer-Verlag. 2014.

Computational Analysis of Terrorist Groups: Lashkar-e-Taiba (with V.S. Subrahmanian, Aaron Mannes, Jana Shakarian, and John Dickerson). Springer-Verlag. 2012.

Journal Publications

"Fake News Detection on Social Media: A Data Mining Perspective." (with Kai Shu, Suhang Wang, Jiliang Tang, and Huan Liu). KDD Explorations, 2017.

"Super-solutions: Succinctly Representing Solutions in Abductive Annotated Probabilistic Temporal Logic" (with C. Molinaro and V.S. Subrahmanian).Transactions on Computational Logic. 2013.

"A Temporal Database Forecasting Algebra" (with F. Parisi and V.S. Subrahmanian). International Journal of Approximate Reasoning. 54(7). 2013.

"Parallel Abductive Query Answering in Probabilistic Logic Programs" (with Gerardo I. Simari, John Dickerson, and V.S. Subrahmanian).ACM Transactions on Computational Logic, vol. 14, no. 2. 2013.

"Focused Most Probable World Computations in Probabilistic Logic Programs" (with Gerardo I. Simari, Maria Vanina Martinez, and V.S. Subrahmanian).Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence, vol. 64, no. 2-3, pp. 113-143. May 2012.

"CONVEX: Context Vectors as a Paradigm for Learning Group Behaviors based on Similarity" (with Vanina Martinez, Gerardo I. Simari, and V.S. Subrahmanian). IEEE Intelligent Systems, vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 51-57. Jul/Aug 2008.

"Computing Most Probable Worlds of Action Probabilistic Logic Programs: Scalable Estimation for 10^30,000 Worlds" (with S. Khuller, M.V. Martinez, D. Nau, G.I. Simari, and V.S. Subrahmanian).Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence. November, 2007.

"CARA: A Cultural-Reasoning Architecture" (with V.S. Subrahmanian, Massimiliano Albanese, Maria Vanina Martinez, Dana Nau, Diego Reforgiato, Gerardo I. Simari, Octavian Udrea, and Jonathan Wilkenfeld).IEEE Intelligent Systems, vol. 22, no. 2, pp. 12-16. Mar/Apr, 2007.

"A Component-Based Data Management and Knowledge Discovery Framework for Aviation Studies" (with M. B. Blake, L. Singh, A. B. Williams, and W.N. Norman). International Journal of Information Technology and Web Engineering, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 76-90. January-March 2006.

Conference Publications

"Using Social Media to Understand Cyber Attack Behavior" (with Kai Shu and Huan Liu). In Proceedings of the International Conference on Cross Cultural Decision Making at the International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics. July 2018.

"Understanding Cyber Attack Behaviors with Sentiment Information on Social Media" (with Kai Shu, Justin Sampson, and Huan Liu). In Proceedings of the International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, & Prediction and Behavior Representation in Modeling and Simulation (SBP-BRiMS), July 2018.

"Hybrid Modeling of Cyber Adversary Behavior" (with Sean Guarino, Peter Weyhrauch, Peter Galvin, Daniel Mitchell, Jason Taylor, and Joseph Campolongo). In Proceedings of the International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral Modeling, and Prediction. July 2017.

"Complex Causality: Computational Formalisms, Mental Models, and Objective Truth" (with Mukesh Dalal and David Blumstein). In Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics. July 2017.

"Modeling Causality in Sociocultural Systems using Ensemble Methods." (with Scott Neal Reilly, David Blumstein, Steve Hookway, and John Chamberlain). In Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics. July 2016. (Awarded Best Paper at the Cross Cultural Decision Making track).

"Combining Cognitive Engineering and Information Fusion Architectures to Build Effective Joint Systems." (with Joseph Gorman, Martin Voshell, James Tittle, and Christopher Bowman). In SPIE Defense + Commercial Sensing, April 2016.

"Modular Analytics Management Architecture for Interoperability and Decision Support" (with Steve Marotta, Max Metzger, and Joseph Gorman). In SPIE Defense + Commercial Sensing, April 2016.

"Tools for Validating Causal and Predictive Claims in Social Science Models" (with Scott Neal Reilly, Randy Casstevens, and John Chamberlain). In Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics. July 2015.

"Dual Node Decision Wheels: an Architecture for Interconnected Information Fusion and Decision making" (with Joe Gorman, Christopher Bowman, and Martin Voshell). In SPIE Defense + Security, Baltimore, MD. April 2015.

"A Big Data Methodology for Bridging Quantitative and Qualitative Political Science Research" (with Scott Neal Reilly). American Political Science Association Annual Meeting, Washington DC. 2014.

"Threats to Peace: Threat Perception and the Persistence or Desistence of Violent Conflict" (with M. Malyutov, G. Pierce, and X. Li). In Proceedings of the European Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference. Uppsala, Sweden. August 2013.

"Risk-based Models of Attacker Behavior in Cybersecurity" (with S. Li and R. Rickert). In Proceedings of the International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral Modeling, & Prediction. Washington, DC. April, 2013.

"Embedding Forecast Operators in Databases" (with Francesco Parisi and V. S. Subrahmanian). In Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Scalable Uncertainty Management (SUM). October 2011.

"A Computationally-Enabled Analysis of Lashkar-e-Taiba Attacks in Jammu & Kashmir" (with Aaron Mannes, Jana Shakarian, and V.S. Subrahmanian). In Proceedings of the European Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference (EISIC). Athens, Greece. September 2011 (short paper).

"Abduction in Annotated Probabilistic Temporal Logic" (with Cristian Molinaro and V.S. Subrahmanian). In Leibniz International Proceedings in Informatics, Technical communication of the International Conference on Logic Programming. July 2011.

"Approximate Achievability in Event Databases" (with Austin Parker, Gerardo I. Simari, and V.S. Subrahmanian). In Proceedings of Eleventh European Conference on Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty (ECSQARU). June 2011.

"Scaling Most Probable World Computations in Probabilistic Logic Programs" (with Gerardo I. Simari, Maria Vanina Martinez, and V.S. Subrahmanian). InProceedings of the First International Conference on Scalable Uncertainty Management<(SUM). October 2008.

"Stochastic Opponent Modeling Agents: A Case Study with Hamas" (with Aaron Mannes, V.S. Subrahmanian, and Jonathan Wilkenfeld). In Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Computational Cultural Dynamics (ICCCD). September 2008.

"The SOMA Terror Organization Portal (STOP): Social Network and analytic Tools for the Real-time Analysis of Terror Groups" (with V. Martinez, G.I. Simari, and V.S. Subrahmanian).In First International Workshop on Social Computing, Behavioral Modeling, and Prediction. April 2008.

"Stochastic Opponent Modeling Agents: A Case Study with Hezbollah" (with Aaron Mannes, Mary Michael, Amy Pate, V.S. Subrahmanian, and Jonathan Wilkenfeld). InFirst International Workshop on Social Computing, Behavioral Modeling, and Prediction. April 2008.

"Finding Most Probable Worlds of Probabilistic Logic Programs" (with Samir Khuller, Vanina Martinez, Dana Nau, Gerardo Simari, and V.S. Subrahmanian). InProceedings of the First International Conference on Scalable Uncertainty Management(SUM). October 2007.

"Tractable Methods for Predicting an Agents Most Probable Actions" (with Maria Vanina Martinez, Gerardo I. Simari, and V.S. Subrahmanian).In Proceedings of the 2007 Grace Hopper Celebration of Women in Computing. October 2007.

"SOMA Models of the Behaviors of Stakeholders in the Afghan Drug Economy: A Preliminary Report" (with Maria Vanina Martinez, Gerardo I. Simari, and V.S. Subrahmanian).Proceedings of the First International Conference on Computational Cultural Dynamics(ICCCD). August 2007.

"Binding Now or Binding Later: The Performance of UDDI Registries" (with M. B. Blake, M. zur Muehlen, and J. Nickerson). InIEEE Hawaii International Conference of System Sciences (HICSS-2007), Track on Technology and Strategies for Realizing Service-Oriented Architectures with Web services. Hawaii. 2007.

"A Stochastic Language for Modeling Opponent Agents" (with Gerardo I. Simari, Dana Nau, and V.S. Subrahmanian). InProceedings of the Fifth International Joint Conference on Agents and Multiagent Systems(AAMAS). 2006.

"Web Services-Based Data Management: Evaluating the Performance of UDDI Registries" (with G. Saez, and M. B. Blake). In Proceedings of the International Conference on Web Services (ICWS). San Diego, CA. July 2004 (short paper).

"Evaluating the Impacts of Internet Dynamism on UDDI Mechanisms and Frameworks for Web Services" (with G. Saez and M. B. Blake). In Technical Symposium in Computer Science Education SIGCSE (also ACM National Research Competition) Norfolk, VA. March 2004 (abstract and presentation).

Book Chapters

"Combining Data-Driven and Theory-Driven Models for Causality Analysis in Sociocultural Systems" (with Scott Neal Reilly, David Blumstein, and Glenn Pierce), In Jonathan Pfautz, Paul Davis, and Angela O Mahoney (Eds.) Social and Behavioral Modeling for Complex Systems, Wiley. 2019.<

"Validating Causal and Predictive Claims in Sociocultural Models" (with Scott Neal Reilly, David Blumstein, John Chamberlain, and Randy Casstevens), In Joseph V. Cohn, Sae Schatz, Hannah Freeman, David J. Y. Combs (Eds.) Modeling Sociocultural Influences on Decision Making: Understanding Conflict, Enabling Stability. CRC Press. 2016.

"Methods and Tools to Analyze Responding to, Counteracting, or Utilizing Sociocultural Behaviors", In Egeth, J.E., Klein, G.L., and Schmorrow, D. (Eds.) Sociocultural Behavior Sensemaking: State of the Art in Understanding the Operational Environment. McLean, VA: The MITRE Corporation. 2014.

"SOMA: Stochastic Opponent Modeling Agents for Forecasting Violent Behavior" (with Gerardo I. Simari, Maria Vanina Martinez, and V.S. Subrahmanian).Handbook of Computational Approaches to Counter-Terrorism. Springer-Verlag. 2012.

"Forecasting Changes in Terror Group Behavior" (with Maria Vanina Martinez, Gerardo I. Simari, and V.S. Subrahmanian).Handbook of Computational Approaches to Counter-Terrorism. Springer-Verlag. 2012.

"Policy Analytics Generation using Action Probabilistic Logic Programs" (with Gerardo I. Simari, John P. Dickerson, and V.S. Subrahmanian).Handbook of Computational Approaches to Counter-Terrorism. Springer-Verlag. 2012.

"CAPE: Automatically Predicting Changes in Group Behavior" (with V. S. Subrahmanian, V. Martinez, and G. I. Simari). InMathematical Methods in Counterterrorism, N. Memon, J. D. Farley, D. L. Hicks, and T. Rosenorn, Eds. Springer Verlag. 2009.

Short Articles and Op-Eds

V.S. Subrahmanian, Aaron Mannes, and Amy Sliva. Op-Ed: "Black hole for foreign aid---As U.S. funds increase, so does terrorism", The Washington Times, September 24, 2010.

Invited Talks

Leveraging Systemic Functional Grammars for Script Analysis and Understanding Human Behavior. 45th International Systemic Functional Congress (ISFC 2018). July 2018.

Combining Data-Driven and Theory-Driven Models for Causality Analysis in Sociocultural Systems. Current Challenges in Computing (CCubed) Conference on Computational Social Science, September 2017.

Panel: What Constitutes an Act of Cyber War Under International Law? 3rd Annual Journal of Law & Cyberwarfare Conference, July 2016.

Predicting Events Using Diverse Ensemble Models. Society of Applied Mathematics Annual Meeting Mini-Symposium on Forecasting from Big, Noisy Data: Challenges and Techniques, 2016.

Scalable Analysis of Behavioral Models and Decision-Making. Computer Science Colloquium, University of Massachusetts Lowel. December 11, 2013.

Scalable Analysis of Behavioral Models and Decision-Making. Harvard Applied Statistics Workshop, Harvard University. November 6, 2013.

Using Artificial Intelligence to Understand Global Conflict. Faculty Works-in-Progress Colloquium, Northeastern Humanities Center, Northeastern University. November 5, 2012.

Security Informatics. Balkan Security, Technology, and Education Conference the Challenges Within Cyber Infrastructure, Ministry of Security of Bosnia and Herzegovina & the American University of Bosnia and Herzegovina. September 2012.

Security Informatics: An Artificial Intelligence Approach to Security. Boston University Computer Science Department Theory Seminar. December 2011.

Interdisciplinary Research at Northeastern: The Intersection of Artificial Intelligence and Political Science. Northeastern University Board of Trustees Meeting. October 2011.

Predicting Changes in Terror Group Behaviors. Second International Conference on Computational Cultural Dynamics (ICCCD). September 2008.